Lynn K. "Nick" Shay
Professor of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography
nshay@rsmas.miami.edu
305.421.4075

Projects
High Frequency Radar
Hurricane Heat Content
Hurricane Field Program
Deepwater Horizon Field Program
Animal Borne Sensors
Personnel
Associate Professor
Dr. Brian Haus

Assistant Scientist
Dr. Benjamin Jaimes

Research Associates
Jodi Brewster
Jorge Martinez

Graduate Students
E. Claire McCaskill
Matthew Archer
Johna Rudzin
Publications
Full List
Most Recent
Biography

Dr. Shay holds a Ph.D. and a M.S. in Physical Oceanography (Applied Math minor for the Ph.D. specializing in upper ocean response to strong atmospheric forcing events) from the Naval Postgraduate School, and a B.S. in Physical Oceanography from Florida Institute of Technology. He is currently a Professor in the Division of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography at the University of Miami's Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science and oversees the Upper Ocean Dynamics Laboratory. Dr. Shay has published over ninety peer reviewed publications in top tier journals and books and has chaired or served on thirty student committees.


Research Interests

Dr. Shay's interests include: experimental and theoretical investigations of the ocean response and coupled air-sea interactions during strong atmospheric forcing events (tropical and extratropical cyclones, atmospheric jets, fronts), coastal oceanographic process studies, radar oceanography using HF radar and satellite altimetry, aircraft-based measurement systems.

Dr. Shay has participated and led a broad spectrum of airborne field programs in hurricanes and climate programs using various aircraft and several HF radar programs including the West Florida Shelf and East Florida Shelf HF Radar Testbed Experiments using a Wellen Radar (WERA) as part of the Southeast Atlantic Coastal Ocean Observing System Regional Association (member of Board of Directors) and Gulf of Mexico Coastal Ocean Observing Regional Association.

Ocean Response/Coupled Air-Sea Interactions: Deployed drifting buoys in hurricane Josephine (84) from Air Force WC-130 aircraft; deployed airborne ocean velocity and temperature profilers (AXCPs,AXBTs) during joint NOAA/ONR ocean response experiment during hurricane Gilbert (88) from NOAA WP-3D; deployed airborne ocean velocity and temperature profilers during Northeast Pacific Ocean Experiment (89) in subarctic fronts from the NRL WP- 3D; simultaneous observations of 2-dimensional directional wave spectra with airborne ocean velocity and temperature profilers during the ONR/NASA Surface Wave Dynamics Experiment (91) from the NASA WP-3A; deployed airborne oceanic profilers during air-sea interaction studies over warm core rings utilizing TOPEX/AVHRR satellite data (98, 99); deployed airborne oceanic (AXCTDs) and atmospheric (GPS) profilers during NSF/NOAA Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Hurricane Experiment in tropical storm Helene (00) and hurricanes Isidore and Lili (02); Katrina and Rita (05); Gustav and Ike (08); and Isaac (2012). In addition, airborne oceanic and atmospheric profilers during the NSF/NOAA sponsored Eastern Pacific Investigation of Climate (01) from NOAA WP-3D and the NCAR WC-130, and during the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill (10) from NOAA WP-3D.

Coastal Oceanographic Process Studies: Deployed Ocean Surface Current Radar as part of the ONR/MMS High Resolution Remote Sensing Experiment (91, 93), ONR Duck94 Experiment, ONR Chesapeake Bay Outflow study sponsored by ONR and NRL (96, 97), ONR 4-D Current Experiment with Florida Atlantic University AUVs (99, 00,01), and NOAA deployments in the Florida Keys (93, 94, 99), and the ONR-sponsored SEA-COOS experiment on the West Florida Shelf (03) and East Florida Shelf (04) using a Wellen Radar that is now supported through NOAA-IOOS as part of the HF Radar National Network.

Awards and Affiliations: Dr. Shay is a recently elected fellow of the American Meteorological Society in 2012 and was part of the NASA GRIP Team to receive an achievement award (2011) for participation in the field campaign. Dr. Shay is a member of American Geophysical Union, American Meteorological Society, Sigma Xi, and Oceanography Society. Dr. Shay served as co-chief editor of the AMS Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanographic Technology-Oceans and serves on the Editorial Board of Elsevier's Dynamics and Atmospheres and International Journal of Oceanography.

Community Service: His service to the oceanographic and meteorological communities include: Panel of the World Meteorological Organization's International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones Landfall Processes, Chaired the Oceanic Impacts Section of IWTC Proceedings (IV, V, VI, and VII), member of NASA Hurricane Science Team, SECOORA Board of Directors and the National Federation of Regional Association National HF Radar Steering Committee. He co-chaired the NSF/NOAA Prospectus Development Team Hurricanes at Landfall committee, Chaired the Air-Sea Interactions in Tropical Cyclones Committee at NCEP, Co-chaired of the Observations committee of the NOAA Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP). Serves on the HFIP Observations and Coupled Modeling team committees, SECOORA Board Policy Committee, GCOOS-RA Observations committee, AMS Tropical Meteorology and Hurricanes Committee, NOAA IOOS Surface Current Mapping Initiative team, and Member of the Florida Institute of Oceanography.


Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions in Tropical Cyclones

  • Seventh WMO International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones, Nov 2010, [PDF].
  • Air-sea interactions in tropical cyclones, Global Perspectives of Tropical Cyclones, book chapter [PDF].
  • Loop Current effects during summer, book chapter [PDF].
  • Systematically Merged Atlantic Regional Temperature and Salinity (SMARTS) for use during hurricane intensity forecasting, poster [PDF].
  • [ppt], 2012 IHC.
  • Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill [ppt]
  • Air-Sea Interactions in Tropical Cyclones Workshop, 24-25 May 2005. [PDF].
  • Successful Oceanic Heat Content Transition [PDF].
  • Animations of TMI SST response to hurricane passages of: Hurricane Juliette (2001) and Hurricanes Isidore and Lili.
  • Animal Born Sensors, poster [PDF].

Online Publications

  • Application of Oceanic Heat Content Estimation to Operational Forecasting of Recent Atlantic Category 5 Hurricanes by M. Mainelli, M. DeMaria, L.K. Shay and G. Goni. Wea and Forecasting [PDF].
  • Evaluation and sensitivity analysis to an ocean model to hurricane Ivan. by G. R. Halliwell, L. K. Shay, J. K. Brewster, and W. J. Teague. Mon. Wea. Rev.[PDF].
  • Loop Current Mixed Layer Energy Response to Hurricane Lili (2002). Part II: Idealized Numerical Simulations. by E. W. Uhlhorn and L.K.Shay. J. Phys. Oceanogr. [PDF].
  • Loop Current mixed layer response to hurricane Lili (2002) Part I: Observations by E. W. Uhlhorn and L.K.Shay. J. Phys. Oceanogr. [PDF].
  • Near-inertial wave wake of hurricanes Katrina and Rita over mesoscale oceanic eddies. by B. Jaimes, and L. K. Shay. J. Phys. Oceanogr.[PDF].
  • Mixed layer cooling in mesoscale oceanic eddies during hurricanes Katrina and Rita. by B. Jaimes and L.K. Shay. Mon. Wea. Rev.[PDF].
  • Eastern Pacific oceanic heat content estimation for hurricane intensity forecasting. by L. K. Shay and J. K. Brewster. Mon. Wea. Rev. [PDF].
  • Upper Ocean Response to Tropical Cyclones by L. K. Shay. RSMAS Technical Report [PDF].
  • Landfalling Tropical Cyclones: Forecast Problems and Associated Research Opportunities by F.D. Marks and L.K. Shay with PDT-5. Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society [PDF].

High Frequency (HF) Radar

  • Ocean Science 2012[ppt]
  • Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 2012[ppt]

Online Publications

  • Interoperability of Sea Sondes and Wellen Radars In Mapping Radial Surface Currents by Jorge Martinez-Pedraja, L. K. Shay, B. K. Haus, and C. Whelan. (In Submission).
  • Pollution Release Tied to Invariant Manifolds: A Case Study for the Coast of Florida by F. Lekien, C. Coulliette, A.J. Mariano, E.H. and L.K. Shay, G. Haller, and J. Marsden Physica D [PDF].
  • Submesoscale Coastal Ocean Flows Detected by Very High Frequency Radar and Autonomous Underwater Vehicles by L.K. Shay, T.M. Cook, and P.E. An; accepted Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, in PDF.
  • HF radar observations of small-scale surface current variability in the Straits of Florida. by A. B. Parks, L. K. Shay, W. E. Johns, J. Martinez-Pedraja, and K.-W. Gurgel. J. of Geophys. Res. [PDF].
  • Very High Frequency Radar Mapping of Surface Currents by L.K. Shay, T.M. Cook, H. Peters, A.J. Mariano, R. Weisberg, P.E. An, A. Soloviev, and M. Luther; IEEE Journal of Coastal Engineering [PDF].
  • Current Variability on a Narrow Shelf with Large Ambient Vorticity. by H. Peters, L. K. Shay, A. J. Mariano, and T. M. Cook. J. Geophys. Res. [PDF].

Recent Publications
2014:

Archer, M., and L. K. Shay, Observed anticyclones along the eastern flank of the Florida Current using the high frequency radar. Geophys. Res. Letts. (In Revision)

Jaimes, B., L. K. Shay and E. W. Uhlhorn, Observed enthalpy fluxes during the rapid intensity change of hurricane Earl. Mon. Wea. Rev (In Revision)

Jaimes, B., and L. K. Shay. Upwelling and mixing processes induced by hurricane Isaac over geostrophically balanced ocean eddies. J. Phys. Oceanogr. (In preparation)

Halliwell, G. R., V. Kourafalou, M. Le Hénaff, L. K. Shay, R. Atlas. OSSE impact analysis of airborne ocean surveys for improving upper-ocean dynamical and thermodynamical forecasts in the Gulf of Mexico. Progress in Oceanogr. (In Submission).

Meyers, P. C., L. K. Shay, and J. K. Brewster, The development of the systematically merged Atlantic regional temperature and salinity climatology for hurricane intensity forecasting. J. Atmos. Oceanogr. Tech., 31, 131-149.

Meyers, P. C., L. K. Shay, B. Jaimes, and J. K. Brewster. Thermal ocean response to hurricanes Gustav and Ike. J. Geophys. Res. (In preparation)

Schuster, R. M. and L. K. Shay. Near-inertial response to hurricane Ivan. J. Phys. Oceanogr. (In preparation)

2013:

Martinez-Pedraja, J., L. K. Shay, B. K. Haus and C. Whelan, Interoperability of Sea-sonde and Wellen Radars in Mapping Surface Currents. J. Atmos. Oceanogr. Tech. 30, 2662-2675.

Shay, L.K., In a spin storm chasing. International Innovation: disseminating science research and technology, Aug., 103-105.

Uhlhorn, E., and L. K. Shay. Loop Current mixed layer energy response to hurricane Lili (2002) Part II: Idealized Numerical Simulations. J. Phys. Oceanogr, 43, 1173-1192.

2012:

Uhlhorn, E., and L. K. Shay. Loop Current mixed layer response to hurricane Lili (2002) Part I: Observations. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 42, 400-419.

2011:

Halliwell, G., L. K. Shay, J. K. Brewster, and W. J. Teague, Evaluation and sensitivity analysis to an ocean model to hurricane Ivan. Mon. Wea. Rev. 139(3), 921-945.

Jaimes, B., L. K. Shay, and G. Halliwell Jr., On the response to tropical cyclones in quasi- geostrophic vorticies. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 41, 1965-1985.

Shay, L. K., B. Jaimes, J. Brewster, P. Meyers, C. McCaskill, E. Uhlhorn, F. Marks, G. R. Halliwell, Jr., Ole-Martin Smedstad, and Patrick Hogan, Airborne ocean surveys of the Loop Current complex from NOAA WP-3D in support of Deepwater Horizon oil spill. Liu, Y., A. MacFadyen, Z.-G. Ji, and R. H. Weisberg (Eds.) (2011), Monitoring and Modeling the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill: A Record-Breaking Enterprise, Geophys. Monogr. Ser., vol. 195, 271 pp., AGU, Washington, D. C.,

2010:

Shay, L. K., 2010: Air-sea interface and oceanic influences (Chapter 1.3). Topic Chairman and Rapporteurs Report for Tropical Cyclone Structure and Structure Change of the 7th WMO International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-7) 15-21 Nov 2010 in St. Denis, LaReunion, France, World Meteorological Organization Tropical Meteorology Research Series, WMO TMRP, Eds.C. Velden, J. Kepert, and R. Rogers, Geneva, Switzerland (In Press: 48pp)

Haus, B. K., L. K. Shay, P. A. Work, G. Voulgaris, R.J. Ramos and J. Martinez-Pedraja. Wind speed dependence of single site wave height retrievals from High-Frequency radars. J. Atmos. and Oceanogr. Tech. 27(8), 1381-1394.

Jaimes, B., and L. K. Shay, 2010: Near-inertial wave wake of hurricanes Katrina and Rita over mesoscale oceanic eddies. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 40, 1320-1337.

Rappaport, E. N., J. L. Franklin, M. DeMaria, A. B. Shumacher, L. K. Shay, and E. J. Gibney. Tropical cyclone intensity change before U. S. Gulf coast landfall. Wea. and Forecast, 25(5), 1380-1396.

Shay, L. K., 2010: Air-sea interactions in tropical cyclones (Chapter 3). Global Perspectives of Tropical Cyclones, 2nd Edition, Eds. Johnny C. L. Chan and J. Kepert, World Scientific Publishing Company: Earth System Science Publication Series, London, UK, 93-131.

Shay, L. K., and J. K. Brewster. Eastern Pacific oceanic heat content estimation for hurricane intensity forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev.. 138, 2110-2131

2009:

Jaimes, B. and L. K. Shay. Mixed layer cooling in mesoscale eddies during hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Mon. Wea. Rev.,137, 4188-4207.

Parks, A.B., L.K. Shay, W.E.Johns, J. Martinez-Pedraja, and K.-W. Gurgel, HF radar observations os small-scale surface current variability in the Straits of Florida. Journal of Geophysical Res., 114, CO8002, doi:10.129/2008JC005025.

2008:

Halliwell, G., L.K. Shay, S.D. Jacob, O. Smedstad, and E. W. Uhlhorn. Improving ocean model initialization for coupled tropical cyclone forecast models using GODAE nowcasts. Mon Wea Rev 136(7), 2576-2591.

Mainelli, M., M. DeMaria, L.K. Shay, and G. Goni. Application of oceanic heat content estimation to operational forecasting of recent category 5 hurricanes, Wea and Forecast 23, 3-16.

Shay, L.K. and E. W. Uhlhorn. Loop Current Response to Hurricanes Isidore and Lili. Mon Wea Rev 137 , 3248-3274. DOI:10.1175/2008MWR2169

Shay, L. K., H. Seim, D. Savidge, R. Styles, and R. Weisberg, High Frequency radar deployed during the Southeast Atlantic Coastal Ocean Observing System: Lessons Learned 2002-2007. J. Marine Tech. Society, 42, 55-67.

Voulgaris, G., B. K. Haus, P. Work, L. K. Shay, H. Seim, R. H. Weisberg, and J. Nelson, 2008. Waves intiative within SEACOOS., J. Marine Tech. Society, 42, 68-79.

Contact
Dr. Lynn Keith Shay
RSMAS/MPO
University of Miami
4600 Rickenbacker Causeway
Miami, FL 33149

Telephone: (305)421-4075
Fax: (305)421-4696
nshay@rsmas.miami.edu