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| Biography |
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Dr. Shay holds a Ph.D. (1987) and a M.S. (1983) in Physical Oceanography
(Applied Math minor for the Ph.D. specializing in upper ocean response to
strong atmospheric forcing events) from the Naval Postgraduate School, and a
B.S. in Physical Oceanography from Florida Institute of Technology (1976).
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| Research Interests |
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Dr. Shay's interests include: experimental and theoretical investigations
of the ocean response and coupled air-sea interactions during strong
atmospheric forcing events (tropical and extratropical cyclones,
atmospheric jets, fronts), coastal oceanographic process studies, radar
oceanography using HF radar and satellite altimetry, aircraft-based
measurement systems.
Ocean Response/Coupled Air-Sea Interactions: Deployed drifting
buoys in
hurricane Josephine (84) from Air Force WC-130 aircraft; deployed airborne
ocean velocity and temperature profilers (AXCPs,AXBTs) during joint
NOAA/ONR ocean response experiment during hurricane Gilbert (88) from NOAA
WP-3D; deployed airborne ocean velocity and temperature profilers during
Northeast Pacific Ocean Experiment (89) in subarctic fronts from the NRL WP-
3D; simultaneous observations of 2-dimensional directional wave spectra
with airborne ocean velocity and temperature profilers during the ONR/NASA
Surface Wave Dynamics Experiment (91) from the NASA WP-3A; deployed
airborne oceanic profilers during air-sea interaction studies over warm
core rings utilizing TOPEX/AVHRR satellite data (98, 99); deployed airborne
oceanic (AXCTDs) and atmospheric (GPS) profilers during NSF/NOAA Coupled
Ocean-Atmosphere Hurricane Experiment in tropical storm Helene (00) and
hurricanes Isidore and Lili (02); and deployed airborne oceanic and
atmospheric profilers during the NSF/NOAA sponsored Eastern Pacific
Investigation of Climate (01) from NOAA WP-3D and the NCAR WC-130.
Coastal Oceanographic Process Studies: Deployed Ocean Surface Current Radar
as part of the ONR/MMS High Resolution Remote Sensing Experiment (91, 93),
ONR Duck94 Experiment, ONR Chesapeake Bay Outflow study sponsored by ONR
and NRL (96, 97), ONR 4-D Current Experiment with Florida Atlantic
University AUVs (99, 00,01), and NOAA deployments in the Florida Keys (93,
94, 99), and the ONR-sponsored SEA-COOS experiment on the West Florida
Shelf (03) and East Florida Shelf (04) using a Wellen Radar.
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Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions in Tropical Cyclones
Online Publications
- "Application of Oceanic Heat Content Estimation to Operational Forecasting of Recent Atlantic
Category 5 Hurricanes" by M. Mainelli, M. DeMaria, L.K. Shay and G. Goni. Wea and Forecasting in
PDF.
- "Improving Ocean Model Initialization for Coupled Tropical Cyclone Forecast Models Using GODAE
Nowcasts" by G.R. Halliwell, L.K. Shay, O.M. Smedstad, and E.W. Uhlhorn. Mon. Wea. Rev. in
PDF.
- "Loop Current Response to Hurricanes Isidore and Lili" by L.K.
Shay, and E. W. Uhlhorn accepted by Monthly Weather Review
in PDF.
- "Effects of a Warm Oceanic Feature on Hurricane Opal" by L.K.
Shay, G.J. Goni, and P.G. Black accepted by Monthly Weather Review (January
2000) in PDF.
- "Upper Ocean Response to Tropical Cyclones" (centered on
Hurricane Gilbert) by L.K. Shay, a RSMAS Technical Report, in PDF format.
- "The 3-D Oceanic Mixed Layer Response to Hurricane Gilbert" by S.D.
Jacob, L.K Shay, A.J. Mariano, P.G. Black accepted by Journal of
Physical Oceanography in PDF format. Figures.
- "Upper Ocean Response to Tropical Cyclone Wind Asymmetries"
extended abstract by S.D. Jacob and L.K. Shay from the 1999 Workshop on
Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones Munich,Germany in PDF format.
- "Landfalling Tropical Cyclones: Forecast Problems and Associated
Research Opportunities"" by F.D. Marks and L.K. Shay with PDT-5 In the
Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society in
PDF format.
High Frequency (HF) Radar
Online Publications
- "High Frequency Radar Mapping of Surface Currents Using
WERA" by Lynn K. Shay, Jorge Martinez-Pedraja, Thomas M. Cook, Brian K.
Haus and Robert H. Weisberg. Submitted to J. Atmos and Ocean Tech, in PDF.
- "Pollution Release Tied to Invariant Manifolds: A Case Study for the Coast of FLorida" by
F. Lekien, C. Coulliette, A.J. Mariano, E.H. and L.K. Shay, G. Haller,
and J. Marsden: Physica D, 210, 2005. in PDF.
- "Surface M2 Tidal Currents along the North Carolina Shelf Observed
with High Frequency Radar" by T.M. Cook and L.K. Shay; Journal of Geophysical
Research Dec. 2002, in PDF.
- "Submesoscale Coastal Ocean Flows Detected by Very High Frequency
Radar and Autonomous Underwater Vehicles" by L.K. Shay, T.M. Cook, and
P.E. An; accepted Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, in PDF.
- "Observed Surface Currents during the Chesapeake Bay Outflow Plume
Experiments" by L.K. Shay, T.M. Cook, B.K. Haus, H.C. Graber, and Z.R.
Hallock; submitted as a note to Journal of Physical Oceanography, in PDF.
- "Very High Frequency Radar Mapping of Surface Currents" by L.K.
Shay, T.M. Cook, H. Peters, A.J. Mariano, R. Weisberg, P.E. An, A. Soloviev,
and M. Luther; IEEE Journal
of Coastal Engineering Apr. 2002 in PDF.
- "Current Variability on a Narrow Shelf with Large Ambient
Vorticity." by H. Peters,L. K. Shay, A. J. Mariano, and T. M. Cook;
J. Geophys. Res. Aug. 2002, in PDF.
EPIC 2001
Supported by NSF
Online Publications
- Technical Report - Draft (postscript).
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| Recent Publications |
| 2009: |
Halliwell, G., L. K. Shay, J. Brewster, and W. Teague, Evaluation and
sensitivity analysis of an ocean model to hurricane Ivan in the northern
Gulf of Mexico. Mon. Wea. Rev. (Submitted)
Haus, B. K., L. K. Shay, R. Ramos, P. Work and G. Voulgaris, Comparison of
in situ and remotely sensed surface wave characteristics from WERA. J.
Atmos. Oceanogr. Tech. (Submitted)
Jaimes, B. and L. K. Shay. Mixed layer cooling in mesoscale eddies during
Katrina and Rita. Mon. Wea. Rev. (In Press), DOI: 10.1175/2009MWR2849.1
Jaimes, B. and L. K. Shay. Near-inertial wave wake of hurricanes Katrina
and Rita in mesoscale eddies. J. Phys. Oceanogr. (Submitted)
Parks, A.B., L.K. Shay, W.E.Johns, J. Martinez-Pedraja, and K.-W. Gurgel,
HF radar observations os small-scale surface current variability in the
Straits of Florida. Journal of Geophysical Res. ,114, CO8002,
doi:10.129/2008JC005025.
Rappaport, E. N., J. L. Franklin, M. DeMaria, A. Schumacher, L. K. Shay,
and E. J. Gibney, Tropical cyclone intensity change before U.S. Gulf
coast land fall. Wea. and Forecast. (Submitted)
Shay, L. K., and J. K. Brewster. Eastern Pacific oceanic heat content
estimation for hurricane forecasting. Mon Wea. Rev, (Submitted)
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Halliwell, G., L.K. Shay, S.D. Jacob, O. Smedstad, and E. W. Uhlhorn.
Improving ocean model initialization for coupled tropical cyclone forecast models using GODAE nowcasts.
Mon Wea Rev
136(7), 2576-2591.
Mainelli, M., M. DeMaria, L.K. Shay, and G. Goni.
Application of oceanic heat content estimation to operational forecasting of recent category 5 hurricanes,
Wea and Forecast
23, 3-16.
Shay, L.K. and E. W. Uhlhorn.
Loop Current Response to Hurricanes Isidore and Lili.
Mon Wea Rev
137 , 3248-3274. DOI:10.1175/2008MWR2169
Shay, L. K., H. Seim, D. Savidge, R. Styles, and R. Weisberg, High
Frequency radar deployed during the Southeast Atlantic Coastal Ocean
Observing System: Lessons Learned 2002-2007. J. Marine Tech. Society, 42,
55-67.
Voulgaris, G., B. K. Haus, P. Work, L. K. Shay, H. Seim, R. H. Weisberg,
and J. Nelson, 2008. Waves intiative within SEACOOS., J. Marine Tech.
Society, 42, 68-79.
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| 2007: |
Liu, Y., R.H. Weisberg, and L.K. Shay.
Characteristic current paatterns on the west Florida shelf from an adjoint, shelf organizing map analysis of HF radar and ADCP data.
J. Atmos. Oceanogr. Tech.
24, 702-712.
Shay, L.K., J. Martinez-Pedraja, T.M. Cook, B.K. Haus, and R. H. Weisberg.
High frequency radar surface current mapping using WERA.
J. Atmos. Oceanogr. Tech 24(3), 484-503.
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| 2006: |
Drennan, W.M. and L. K. Shay.
On the variability of the fluxes of momentum and sensible heat.
Bound. Layer Meteor., 119(1), 81,107.
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Rogers, R., S. Aberson, M. Black, P. Black, J. Cione, P. Dodge, J. Dunion, J. Gamache, J. Kaplan, M. Powell, L.K. Shay, N. Surgi, E.
Uhlhorn. The intensity forecasting experiment (IFEX), a NOAA multiple year filed program for improving intensity forecasts. BAMS, 87(11), 1523-1537.
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Shay, L.K. and S.D. Jacob. Relationship between oceanic energy fluxes
and surface winds during tropical cyclone passage (Chapter 5).
Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions II, Advances in Fluid Mechanics
Ed. W. Perrie, WIT Press, Southampton, UK. 115-142.
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Shay, L.K., Air-sea interface and oceanic influences (Chapter 1.3).
Topic Chairman and Rapporteurs Report for Tropical Cyclones Structure
and Structure Change of the 6th WMO International Workshop on Tropical
Cyclones (IWTC-6) 20 Nov - 1 Dec 2006 in Costa Rica, World
Meteorological Organization Tropical Meteorology Research Series, Ed.
Hugh Willoughby, WMO Report 67, Geneva, Switzerland. (In
preparation)
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| 2005: |
DeMaria, M. Mainelli M.,
L.K. Shay, J.A. Knaff, and J. Kaplan.
Further improvements to the statistical hurricane intensity prediction
scheme (SHIPS). Wea. and Forecasting, 20(4), 531-543.
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Haus, B.K., R. Ramos, H. C. Graber, L. K. Shay, and Z. Hallock .
Remote observation of the shoaling of surface waves propagating into
an estuarine outflow. IEEE Journal of Ocean. Eng. (In Press)
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Lekien, F., C. Coulliette, A.J. Mariano, E.H. Ryan,
L.K. Shay, G. Haller and J. Madsen, Pollution release tied to invariant manifolds: A cse study along the coast of Florida. Elsevier
SciencePhysica D, 210, 1-20.
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| 2004: |
Raymond, D.J., S.K.
Esbensen, M. Gregg, C.S. Bretherton, L.K. Shay, C. Ohlman, and W.A. Petersen,
EPIC 2001 and the coupled ocean-atmosphere system of the tropical east
Pacific. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc.,
85(9), 1341-1354.
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Marmorino, G.W.,
C.Y. Shen, T. E. Evans, G. J. Lindemann
and L.K. Shay. Use of velocity projection to estimate sea state anomaly from
HF-radar current measurements. Cont.
Shelf Res. 24, 353-374.
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| Contact |
Dr. Lynn Keith Shay
RSMAS/MPO
University of Miami
4600 Rickenbacker Causeway
Miami, FL 33149
Telephone: (305)421-4075
Fax: (305)421-4696
nick@rsmas.miami.edu
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